The restart nobody plans for
We work through the residual-exposure table so the decision can be made from numbers rather than from feel.
TheCompound Journal
Reporting on incretins, compounding & the peptide supply chain
Incretin science
The class is described as though every molecule in it did the same thing. At the receptor, they demonstrably do not.
The most useful thing an editor can do with a drug class this heavily covered is insist on the distinction between a mechanism and a metaphor. Appetite suppression is a metaphor. Delayed gastric emptying mediated by vagal afferent signalling and central integration in the area postrema is a mechanism. The two are related, they are not interchangeable, and the difference determines which side effects are expected, which are dose-limiting, and which resolve.
The GLP-1 receptor belongs to class B of the G-protein-coupled receptor superfamily — the secretin-like receptors — which is a structural classification with practical consequences. Class B receptors have a large extracellular domain that captures the C-terminal portion of a peptide ligand first, in what is usually described as a two-domain binding model: the extracellular domain provides affinity, and the N-terminal residues of the peptide then insert into the transmembrane bundle to provide activation.
That architecture is why these receptors are difficult small-molecule targets and why, for two decades, every marketed agonist was a peptide. It is also why the orally available non-peptide agonists now in late-stage development are genuinely notable pharmacology rather than a formulation trick: they bind a site that a peptide does not occupy in the same way, and they activate the receptor through a partially distinct mechanism.1
The consequence for a reader trying to compare molecules is that structural class predicts a great deal about route, durability and formulation, and rather less about efficacy.
Four to five half-lives to approach steady state is the single most useful calculation in this area. For a molecule with a half-life of about a week it means more than a month, and every impression of a dose formed before then was formed on incomplete exposure.
When the GLP-1 receptor is activated it can couple to Gαs, raising cyclic AMP, and it can recruit beta-arrestin, which contributes to receptor internalisation and desensitisation. An agonist that favours the first over the second is described as G-protein-biased. The therapeutic argument for bias is that sustained cAMP signalling without proportionate internalisation should produce a more durable effect at the same occupancy.
The evidence for that argument is real but narrower than its popularity suggests. Bias is measured in transfected cell systems at receptor densities that bear no relationship to a beta cell or a vagal afferent, and the translation from a bias factor in vitro to a clinical difference in vivo has been demonstrated convincingly for very few ligands.2 The Journal’s position is that bias is a legitimate and probably important variable, that it is one of several plausible explanations for the differences observed between molecules, and that anybody presenting it as the explanation is ahead of the data.
Cagrilintide is not a GLP-1 receptor agonist. It is repeatedly described as one, including by people who should know.
On class confusionThree quantities are routinely conflated in discussions of this class. Affinity is how tightly a ligand binds, usually reported as a dissociation constant. Potency is the concentration producing half-maximal response, reported as an EC50. Efficacy is the maximal response achievable, reported relative to a reference agonist. A molecule can be more potent and less efficacious than another, and a molecule can bind a second receptor with high affinity and produce almost no response there.
Selectivity is the ratio of activities across receptors, and it is where the current pipeline diverges most sharply. Reported GIP-to-GLP-1 activity ratios for dual agonists vary by more than an order of magnitude between molecules; glucagon receptor arms in triple agonists vary similarly. Those ratios are properties of the sequence and they are not adjustable by dose. Two molecules with different ratios are different drugs at every dose, which is the reason head-to-head trials cannot be replaced by cross-trial comparison.3
The long half-life of these agents is engineering rather than accident. Acylation and albumin binding were designed in, they explain the dosing interval, and they also explain a good deal about distribution that is otherwise puzzling.
| Molecule | Durability strategy | Approx. half-life | Route |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exenatide (BID) | Exendin-4 backbone, DPP-4 resistant | 2.4 h | Subcutaneous |
| Liraglutide | C16 acylation, albumin binding | 13 h | Subcutaneous |
| Dulaglutide | Fc fusion | ≈5 days | Subcutaneous |
| Semaglutide | Aib8 substitution + C18 diacid acylation | ≈7 days | Subcutaneous / oral |
| Tirzepatide | Aib substitution + C20 diacid acylation | ≈5 days | Subcutaneous |
| Orforglipron | Non-peptide, hepatic clearance | ≈29–49 h | Oral |
| Half-lives are population means from labelling and published pharmacokinetic studies; individual values vary substantially with renal function and body weight. | |||
Three engineering strategies account for essentially every long-acting agonist on the market. The first is substitution at the DPP-4 cleavage site: replacing the alanine at position 8 with a residue the enzyme cannot process removes the fastest route of degradation. The second is acylation with a fatty-acid chain, which promotes reversible binding to serum albumin; albumin-bound drug is protected from renal filtration and enzymatic attack, and dissociates slowly to provide a circulating depot. The third is fusion to a large carrier — an immunoglobulin Fc fragment, for instance — which raises the hydrodynamic radius above the glomerular filtration threshold.
Semaglutide uses the first two, with a C18 diacid linked through a spacer. Liraglutide uses a shorter C16 chain and achieves roughly thirteen hours rather than seven days, which is a useful demonstration of how much the chain contributes. Dulaglutide takes the fusion route. The strategies are not interchangeable and they produce different distribution and clearance behaviour, not merely different durations.4
An orally bioavailable small molecule that activates a class B GPCR was, for a long time, considered close to impossible. The current crop of non-peptide GLP-1 receptor agonists achieves it by binding a site that overlaps only partially with the peptide binding pocket, stabilising an active conformation without the two-domain capture mechanism.
Pharmacologically this matters for three reasons. Absorption does not depend on a permeation enhancer, so bioavailability is far less variable and far less dependent on fasting state than oral semaglutide’s. Elimination is hepatic rather than largely renal and proteolytic, which changes the interaction profile. And potency at the receptor is achieved without a fatty-acid albumin depot, so the concentration-time profile looks like a conventional small molecule rather than a peptide. None of this predicts efficacy; all of it predicts a different practical drug.
The Journal will keep reporting this department from the primary literature and the regulatory assessment reports, and will keep stating when a claim rests on transfected cells rather than on people. Readers who think a paragraph here has outrun its evidence should write in; the standards desk reads every such letter and the correction log records what came of it.
Selected from correspondence received on this article. Writers are identified by initial, surname and city, verified before printing. Replies are from the desk that filed the piece or from the standards editor. Write to letters@compoundjournal.com.
Desensitisation kinetics differ between ligands at the same receptor, which is a well-established property of this family and almost absent from the popular account. A compound that resists desensitisation behaves differently over weeks regardless of its acute potency.
— A. Salcedo, Bilbao
Species-matched receptor is the minimum condition for a potency comparison to be meaningful, and several widely circulated tables mix figures obtained on receptors from different organisms. The mixing is not visible in the table.
— R. Mabaso, Nelspruit
The claim that nothing at baseline predicts response is too strong. Surely baseline BMI, sex and diabetes status shift the expected outcome — the trials stratify on exactly those variables.
— B. Achterberg, Utrecht
They shift the mean, which is why the trials stratify. They barely narrow the distribution around it, which is the claim we made. Both statements are in the responder analyses and we should have distinguished them more carefully in the paragraph you are objecting to.
Access to a tissue is as important as the presence of a receptor in it, and molecules of this size do not cross every barrier freely. A receptor that cannot be reached is not part of the mechanism.
— N. Zangwill, Manchester
The GIP contribution remains genuinely unsettled and your piece says so, which is more than most coverage manages. Agonism and antagonism at that receptor have both been argued to produce benefit, and a mechanism that works either way round is a mechanism that has not been demonstrated.
— N. Ó Broin, Sligo
That is the position, and it is uncomfortable enough that a good deal of writing on the subject simply picks a side. The clinical result is solid; the mechanistic account of it is not settled.
We work through the residual-exposure table so the decision can be made from numbers rather than from feel.
Trial discontinuation figures are a floor, not an estimate: trial populations are supported in ways ordinary patients are not.
The practice is near-universal, clinically sensible, and supported by observational data rather than randomised comparison. We say which is which.
The mechanism is well described. The variance is not.
The absences are not concealment. They are the form the trade settled on, and no buyer has ever objected.
Receptor pharmacology explains more of the clinical picture than the dose does — and almost none of it appears in the material patients are given.